Settlement source intelligence
The Settlement Source Atlas
Every distinct source that live prediction markets resolved against in the last 30 days, classified by how readable it is. This is the dataset behind Linesetter's source recommendations and readiness scores.
644
Distinct sources
97.3%
Volume free-to-read
6
Hard paywalls
2.4% of volume
$8.4B
Traded volume
est. dollars
Volume is estimated dollars traded (contracts x trade price), not $1 notional. Excludes 3 parlay-permutation series (13,384,384 auto-generated combination markets, $10B notional but only $323M traded) tracked separately.
Settlement readiness by category
Share of series that settle on free-only sources (green), a mix (amber), or at least one paid source (red).
Sports
$6.4B
526 series·222,943 markets·31% YES
446 free-only36 mixed44 paid
Crypto
$1.8B
45 series·873,890 markets·25% YES
45 free-only
Mentions
$52M
81 series·7,819 markets·43% YES
8 free-only19 mixed54 paid
Climate and Weather
$49M
60 series·20,209 markets·39% YES
57 free-only3 mixed
Elections
$35M
154 series·1,803 markets·22% YES
113 free-only20 mixed21 paid
Economics
$28M
120 series·3,428 markets·49% YES
38 free-only69 mixed13 paid
Entertainment
$21M
102 series·7,638 markets·19% YES
38 free-only32 mixed32 paid
Financials
$18M
79 series·101,046 markets·49% YES
37 free-only19 mixed23 paid
Commodities
$12M
19 series·5,656 markets·54% YES
19 free-only
Politics
$8.9M
119 series·567 markets·39% YES
46 free-only20 mixed53 paid
Science and Technology
$4.7M
35 series·526 markets·66% YES
25 free-only8 mixed2 paid
Every settlement source
Search and filter the full set. Volume is estimated dollars traded (contracts x trade price).
| Settlement source | Markets | Volume | Access |
|---|---|---|---|
ESPN espn.com | 348 | $476K | Free |
The Wall Street Journal www.wsj.com | 218 | $1.6M | Paywall |
Fox Sports foxsports.com | 211 | $476K | Free |
the Governing League www.indycar.com/ | 201 | $13K | Free |
Reuters reuters.com/ | 199 | $507 | Free |
ABC abcnews.go.com/ | 176 | $93K | Free |
The Washington Post abc.com/ | 164 | $17K | Freemium |
CNN www.cnn.com | 157 | $4.3M | Free |
Fox News www.foxnews.com | 154 | $3.7M | Free |
the Associated Press apnews.com/ | 152 | $93K | Free |
Politico www.politico.com | 149 | $2.1M | Free |
MSNBC www.msnbc.com | 140 | $2.2M | Free |
The New York Times www.nytimes.com | 139 | $1.3M | Freemium |
CBS www.cbs.com | 136 | $110K | Free |
Axios www.axios.com | 134 | $2.5M | Free |
Semafor semafor.com | 120 | $715K | Free |
The Information www.theinformation.com | 116 | $597K | Paywall |
Bloomberg News www.bloomberg.com | 75 | $2.7M | Freemium |
NBC www.nbc.com | 69 | $17K | Free |
Republican Party gop.com/ | 68 | $14M | Free |
FIFA FIFA.com | 62 | $6 | Free |
Bloomberg bloomberg.com/ | 60 | $507 | Freemium |
Trading Economics tradingeconomics.com | 57 | $3K | Freemium |
Democratic Party democrats.org/ | 56 | $3K | Free |
BBC www.bbc.co.uk | 55 | $28K | Free |
CNBC kalshi.com/ | 49 | $11K | Free |
the New York Times nytimes.com | 49 | $6K | Freemium |
CF Benchmarks www.cfbenchmarks.com/ | 46 | $87K | Free |
Billboard kalshi.com/ | 39 | $3.1M | Free |
Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm | 38 | $572K | Free |
Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm | 38 | $572K | Free |
Financial Times ft.com/ | 37 | $89 | Paywall |
NHL www.nhl.com | 28 | $7.7M | Free |
The Source Agencies are kalshi.com/ | 27 | $6.9M | Unknown |
Associated Press apnews.com | 26 | $239K | Free |
Flashscore flashscoreusa.com/basketball/europe/admira | 24 | $538 | Free |
Sofascore www.sofascore.com/ | 24 | $511K | Free |
The Guardian www.theguardian.com | 24 | $333K | Free |
in hierarchical order kalshi.com/ | 23 | $1.4M | Unknown |
Ornn dashboard.ornnai.com/ | 22 | $24K | Free |
State governments elections.maryland.gov/index.html | 21 | $4.4M | Free |
person kalshi.com/ | 21 | $553K | Free |
Bureau of Labor Statistics www.bls.gov/cpi/ | 21 | $118K | Free |
Spotify charts.spotify.com/charts/overview/global | 20 | $71K | Free |
CBS Sports www.cbssports.com/ | 19 | $39K | Free |
the White House whitehouse.gov | 18 | $5K | Free |
ATP www.atptour.com/ | 16 | $659M | Free |
Gamers World egamersworld.com/ | 16 | $102M | Free |
state board of elections or canvassing board kalshi.com/ | 16 | $5.9M | Free |
Library of Congress congress.gov | 16 | $179K | Free |
White House whitehouse.gov/ | 16 | $1.1M | Free |
relevant county clerk or board of elections kalshi.com/ | 15 | $5.8M | Free |
Attorney General of the United States www.justice.gov/ag | 15 | $5.8M | Free |
relevant city/municipal clerk kalshi.com/ | 15 | $5.8M | Free |
in hierarchical order: the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer kalshi.com/ | 15 | $5.8M | Free |
the Federal Election Commission www.fec.gov | 15 | $5.8M | Free |
Netflix kalshi.com/ | 15 | $109K | Subscription |
the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held kalshi.com | 15 | $106 | Free |
Variety kalshi.com/ | 15 | $14K | Free |
New York Times store.nytimes.com/collections/new-york-tim | 15 | $829 | Freemium |
AP apnews.com | 14 | $28K | Free |
the President of the United States www.whitehouse.gov/ | 14 | $6.9M | Free |
official government records and registries kalshi.com | 14 | $685K | Free |
For example, Google Finance www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP? | 13 | $4.0M | Free |
Federal Reserve Board of Governors www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomc | 13 | $5.1M | Free |
constitutional court constitutionalcourt.com | 13 | $27K | Free |
Rolling Stone kalshi.com/ | 13 | $460K | Free |
Spotify Charts charts.spotify.com/charts/view/album-us-we | 13 | $6K | Unknown |
ICE www.cnbc.com/quotes/.DXY | 12 | $12K | Free |
or equivalent electoral authority of the relevant jurisdiction; the formal proclamation by the head of state or government when constitutionally required; for religious elections kalshi.com/ | 12 | $2.6M | Free |
in hierarchical order: Primary Sources: the official electoral commission kalshi.com/ | 12 | $2.6M | Free |
The Athletic theathletic.com | 12 | $684K | Paywall |
Federal Register www.federalregister.gov/ | 12 | $180 | Free |
California Secretary of State www.sos.ca.gov/ | 11 | $3.4M | Free |
ICC www.icc-cricket.com/fixtures-results | 10 | $123M | Free |
Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA www.ncaa.com/brackets/softball/d1/2026 | 10 | $67K | Free |
Sky Sports kalshi.com/ | 10 | $7K | Free |
MarketWatch kalshi.com/ | 10 | $152K | Freemium |
Peacock www.peacocktv.com/watch/home?orig_ref=http | 9 | $7.0M | Subscription |
NWS Climatological Report forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOU& | 9 | $1.2M | Free |
Pyth pythdata.app/explore | 9 | $4.2M | Free |
NBC Sports www.nbcsports.com/ | 9 | $1.6M | Free |
National Weather Service www.weather.gov | 9 | $884K | Free |
central bank kalshi.com/ | 9 | $152K | Free |
Federal Reserve Economic Data kalshi.com/ | 9 | $152K | Free |
Bloomberg Terminal kalshi.com/ | 9 | $152K | Paywall |
Trading View www.tradingview.com/symbols/BMV-ME/ | 9 | $16K | Freemium |
Cricbuzz www.cricbuzz.com/ | 8 | $110M | Free |
official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography><https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote | 8 | $0 | Free |
365 Scores www.365scores.com/ | 8 | $358K | Free |
Basketball24 www.basketball24.com/brazil/nbb/#/EcvoJuhn | 8 | $538 | Free |
The Hollywood Reporter www.hollywoodreporter.com | 8 | $238K | Free |
ABC News Australia www.abc.net.au/news/ | 8 | $784K | Free |
BBC Sport www.bbc.co.uk/sport | 8 | $288K | Free |
Truflation truflation.com/marketplace/ai-index | 8 | $4 | Freemium |
FRED fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU000072610 | 8 | $2K | Free |
Bezel markets.getbezel.com/indexes | 8 | $19K | Free |
WTA www.wtatennis.com/ | 7 | $265M | Free |
ESPNcricinfo www.espncricinfo.com | 7 | $31M | Free |
FIA www.fia.com | 7 | $3.0M | Free |
Vogue vogue.tv | 7 | $14K | Free |
the Statistical Review of World Energy kalshi.com/ | 7 | $77K | Unknown |
Pitchfork pitchfork.com | 7 | $1.6M | Free |
ABC News abcnews.go.com/ | 7 | $1.2M | Free |
Hulu www.hulu.com/ | 7 | $11K | Subscription |
Luminate luminatedata.com/ | 7 | $539K | Freemium |
South China Morning Post www.scmp.com | 7 | $99K | Freemium |
The Verge www.theverge.com | 7 | $99K | Free |
CBC www.cbc.ca/ | 7 | $99K | Free |
LIV Golf www.livgolf.com/ | 7 | $30K | Free |
official social media accounts controlled by person><https://kalshi.com/ | 7 | $0 | Free |
official campaign announcements from candidate><https://kalshi.com/ | 7 | $0 | Free |
Politico EU www.politico.eu/ | 7 | $80 | Free |
official statements from organizations where person> holds a leadership position<https: | 7 | $0 | Free |
the league governing the game www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs | 6 | $0 | Free |
ESPN cricinfo www.espncricinfo.com/ | 6 | $80M | Free |
Paramount+ www.paramountplus.com/home/ | 6 | $21M | Subscription |
the Federal Register kalshi.com/ | 6 | $632K | Free |
local news outlets with verifiable mastheads in area><https://irangov.ir/en | 6 | $0 | Free |
official social media accounts of person> or their official representatives< | 6 | $0 | Free |
Donald Trump kalshi.com/ | 6 | $77K | Free |
itv www.itv.com/ | 6 | $197K | Free |
U.S. Department of the Treasury home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-cha | 6 | $36K | Free |
HLTV www.hltv.org/results | 5 | $62M | Free |
City of Los Angeles lacity.gov/ | 5 | $3.1M | Free |
Entertainment Weekly ew.com | 5 | $1.1M | Free |
official election authority responsible for certifying results in geography kalshi.com/ | 5 | $488K | Free |
DP World Tour www.europeantour.com/dpworld-tour/schedule | 5 | $818K | Free |
official representatives or offices of person><https://kalshi.com/ | 5 | $0 | Unknown |
official government sources of area><https://kalshi.com/ | 5 | $0 | Unknown |
Chess.com www.chess.com/ | 5 | $58K | Free |
Fiscal.ai fiscal.ai | 5 | $162K | Freemium |
Fox fox.co | 5 | $2K | Free |
NBA www.nba.com/ | 4 | $623K | Free |
KBO eng.koreabaseball.com/Schedule/DailySchedu | 4 | $8.4M | Free |
USA Today www.usatoday.com/ | 4 | $5.7M | Free |
Golf Channel golfchannel.com | 4 | $2.4M | Free |
LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control) arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style | 4 | $386K | Free |
official government websites relevant to office><https://kalshi.com/ | 4 | $0 | Free |
office or organization where person> holds <office><https://kalshi.com/ | 4 | $0 | Free |
TicketData www.ticketdata.com/ | 4 | $1K | Freemium |
the official broadcaster or streaming platform of competition> (e<https://kalshi.com/ | 4 | $0 | Unknown |
CDC www.cdc.gov/index.html | 4 | $106K | Free |
the official governing body of event kalshi.com | 4 | $27K | Free |
Secretary of State of geography><https://www.nass.org/can-I-vote | 4 | $0 | Free |
IPL www.iplt20.com/ | 4 | $148K | Unknown |
U.S. Senate www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate | 4 | $3K | Free |
CBS News www.cbsnews.com/ | 4 | $60K | Free |
Supreme Court www.supremecourt.gov | 4 | $54K | Free |
US Department of the Treasury home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-cha | 4 | $24K | Free |
MLB www.mlb.com/ | 3 | $201M | Free |
the California Secretary of State www.sos.ca.gov | 3 | $38K | Free |
Federal Reserve www.federalreserve.gov | 3 | $1K | Free |
Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk lavote.gov | 3 | $1.6M | Free |
AAA gasprices.aaa.com/ | 3 | $4.9M | Free |
Call of Duty League callofdutyleague.com/en-us/ | 3 | $4.5M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Miami forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MFL& | 3 | $4.6M | Free |
IMF PortWatch portwatch.imf.org/pages/chokepoint6 | 3 | $84K | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Chicago Midway forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LOT& | 3 | $3.6M | Free |
official social media accounts of media kalshi.com/ | 3 | $1.1M | Free |
Pyth - Gold pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD | 3 | $1.8M | Free |
UFC kalshi.com/ | 3 | $117K | Free |
NWS Climatological Report NY forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OKX& | 3 | $2.3M | Free |
Pyth - Silver pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD | 3 | $1.1M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report San Francisco forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MTR& | 3 | $1.8M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Austin forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX& | 3 | $1.8M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Seattle forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=SEW& | 3 | $1.8M | Free |
official organizational website where role is housed www.thjodminjasafn.is | 3 | $553K | Unknown |
or company responsible for role kalshi.com/ | 3 | $553K | Unknown |
agency kalshi.com/ | 3 | $553K | Unknown |
official government website kalshi.com/ | 3 | $553K | Free |
Kotaku kotaku.com | 3 | $1.1M | Free |
the State of California www.sos.ca.gov/elections/prior-elections | 3 | $73K | Free |
Forbes www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#45c | 3 | $1.6M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Houston forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=HGX& | 3 | $1.2M | Free |
Sports Illustrated www.si.com | 3 | $11K | Free |
CFL www.cfl.ca/ | 3 | $437K | Free |
official representatives or offices of Donald Trump truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump | 3 | $63K | Free |
Anthropic www.anthropic.com/ | 3 | $144K | Free |
Bleacher Report www.bleacherreport.com | 3 | $12K | Unknown |
the Department of Justice kalshi.com/ | 3 | $11K | Free |
company kalshi.com/ | 3 | $195K | Unknown |
International Cricket Council (ICC) www.icc-cricket.com/index | 3 | $83K | Free |
VoteHub votehub.com | 3 | $9K | Free |
official electoral authority conducting election kalshi.com/ | 3 | $531 | Free |
Fifa www.fifa.com/ | 3 | $636 | Free |
USGS earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/ | 3 | $39K | Free |
The White House kalshi.com/ | 3 | $44K | Free |
South Carolina Secretary of State sos.sc.gov/ | 3 | $22K | Free |
official account of person><https://kalshi.com/ | 3 | $0 | Unknown |
organizers of event><https://kalshi.com/ | 3 | $0 | Unknown |
media partners of event><https://kalshi.com/ | 3 | $0 | Unknown |
X twitter.com/home | 3 | $538 | Free |
ITF www.itftennis.com/en/ | 2 | $512M | Free |
Rotten Tomatoes www.rottentomatoes.com/ | 2 | $2.5M | Free |
DLTV dltv.org/results | 2 | $6.2M | Unknown |
Texas Secretary of State www.sos.state.tx.us/ | 2 | $1.4M | Free |
SpaceX www.spacex.com/ | 2 | $89 | Free |
National Electoral Council (CNE) www.cne.gov.co/ | 2 | $1.5M | Free |
The Athletic MMA coverage kalshi.com/ | 2 | $772K | Paywall |
Sports Illustrated MMA bellator.com/ | 2 | $772K | Free |
CBS Sports MMA bellator.com/ | 2 | $772K | Free |
Bloody Elbow kalshi.com/ | 2 | $772K | Unknown |
ESPN MMA www.espn.com.au/mma/ | 2 | $772K | Unknown |
Prime Minister's Office stm.dk/en | 2 | $44K | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Phoenix forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PSR& | 2 | $1.8M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Atlanta forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FFC& | 2 | $1.6M | Free |
Georgia Republican Party www.gagop.org/ | 2 | $978K | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Dallas FW forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=FWD& | 2 | $1.5M | Free |
Game Informer www.gameinformer.com | 2 | $1.1M | Free |
Stereogum www.stereogum.com | 2 | $1.1M | Unknown |
official website of media kalshi.com/ | 2 | $1.1M | Unknown |
NME www.nme.com | 2 | $1.1M | Unknown |
GameSpot www.gamespot.com | 2 | $1.1M | Free |
Polygon polygon.com | 2 | $1.1M | Free |
media and its parent company or publisher kalshi.com/ | 2 | $1.1M | Unknown |
verified social media accounts of the cover subject(s) or creator(s) www.kalshi.com/ | 2 | $1.1M | Unknown |
Publishers Weekly www.publishersweekly.com | 2 | $1.1M | Free |
Spin www.spin.com | 2 | $1.1M | Unknown |
IGN www.ign.com | 2 | $1.1M | Free |
Media Week kalshi.com/ | 2 | $1.1M | Unknown |
NWS Climatological Report Boston forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=BOX& | 2 | $1.4M | Free |
MS NOW www.ms.now/ | 2 | $385 | Free |
Rockstar Games www.rockstargames.com/ | 2 | $487K | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Las Vegas forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=VEF& | 2 | $1.2M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report OKC forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=OUN& | 2 | $1.2M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report Minneapolis forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MPX& | 2 | $1.0M | Free |
NWS Climatological Report DC forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX& | 2 | $0 | Free |
USAJobs.gov www.usajobs.gov/ | 2 | $632K | Free |
Acting Returning Officer for Makerfield www.wigan.gov.uk | 2 | $351K | Free |
NWS Climatological Report New Orleans forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LIX& | 2 | $768K | Free |
NWS Climatological Report San Antonio forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=EWX& | 2 | $696K | Free |
Kash Patel x.com/FBIDirectorKash | 2 | $142 | Free |
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cag/global/time-series | 2 | $496K | Free |
24live 24live.com/page/sport/event/basketball-6/1 | 2 | $195K | Free |
Deutsche Welle www.dw.com | 2 | $685K | Free |
organization kalshi.com/ | 2 | $74K | Unknown |
the World Health Organization kalshi.com/ | 2 | $239K | Unknown |
Paramount www.paramount.com/ | 2 | $37K | Free |
Roll Call rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/social/? | 2 | $96K | Unknown |
Sotheby’s www.sothebys.com/ | 2 | $216K | Unknown |
Yahoo Sports kalshi.com/ | 2 | $476K | Free |
IIHF www.iihf.com/en/events/2026/wm | 2 | $206K | Unknown |
LiveScore www.livescore.com/en/cricket/india/ipl/ | 2 | $133K | Free |
LMArena Leaderboard arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev | 2 | $33K | Unknown |
Steam store.steampowered.com/ | 2 | $1K | Unknown |
the Federal Reserve www.federalreserve.gov | 2 | $78K | Free |
C-SPAN kalshi.com/ | 2 | $11K | Unknown |
official transcripts from Congressional hearings kalshi.com/ | 2 | $11K | Free |
the Office of Management and Budget kalshi.com/ | 2 | $11K | Free |
Showing 250 of 644 distinct settlement sources observed across live markets. Volume is estimated dollars traded (contracts x trade price).